Prof John Forbes
John Forbes is Professor of Health Economics at the University of Limerick. Born and educated in California, he studied economics at the University of California at Berkeley. He received his MSc at the University of York and PhD at the University of Glasgow. John started his research career at the University of Aberdeen, and has worked at the Social and Public Health Sciences Unit at the University of Glasgow and the Usher Institute of Public Health at the University of Edinburgh. Prior to joining Limerick he held a Readership in the College of Medicine and Veterinary Medicine at the University of Edinburgh.
John's research interests include the analysis of treatment effects in health and health care, economic analysis within randomised experiments and the microeconometric analysis of health data. His research has been supported by the Medical Research Council, the National Institute for Health Research, the Health Technology Assessment Programme, the Scottish Executive and major medical charities.
He is a member of the American Economic Association and the Royal Economic Society and is affiliated with the Scottish Institute for Research in Economics, the School of Economics at the University of Edinburgh and the Health Econometrics and Data Group at the University of York. He has also worked as a consultant for the World Bank, the World Health Organisation and numerous public and private sector agencies.
2015
Dennis, M., Graham, C., Smith, J., Forbes, J. and Sandercock, P. (2015) 'Which stroke patients gain most from intermittent pneumatic compression: further analyses of the CLOTS 3 trial', Int J Stroke.
Dennis, M., Sandercock, P., Graham, C., Forbes, J on behalf of the CLOTS (Clots in Legs Or stockings after Stroke) Trials Collaboration. (2015) 'The CLOTS 3 trial: a randomised controlled trial to determine whether intermittent pneumatic compression reduces the risk of post stroke deep vein thrombosis', Health Technology Assessment, 19(10).
Dennis M, G. C., Smith J, Forbes J, Sandercock P. (2015) 'Which stroke patients gain most from intermittent pneumatic compression (IPC): further analyses of the CLOTS 3 trial', International Journal of Stroke.
Healy, D., Clarke-Moloney, M., Gaughan, B., O'Daly, S., Hausenloy, D., Sharif, F., Newell, J., O'Donnell, M., Grace, P., Forbes, J. F., Cullen, W., Kavanagh, E., Burke, P., Cross, S., Dowdall, J., McMonagle, M., Fulton, G., Manning, B. J., Kheirelseid, E. A. H., Leahy, A., Moneley, D., Naughton, P., Boyle, E., McHugh, S., Madhaven, P., O'Neill, S., Martin, Z., Courtney, D., Tubassam, M., Sultan, S., McCartan, D., Medani, M. and Walsh, S. (2015) 'Preconditioning Shields Against Vascular Events in Surgery (SAVES), a multicentre feasibility trial of preconditioning against adverse events in major vascular surgery: Study protocol for a randomised control trial', Trials, 16(1), 185.
Newby D, W. M., Hunter A, Pawade T, Shah A, Flapan A, Forbes J, Hargreaves A, Leslie S, Lewis S, McKillop G, McLean S, Reid J, Spratt J, Uren N (2015) 'CT coronary angiography in patients with suspected angina due to coronary heart disease (SCOT-HEART): an open-label, parallel-group, multicentre trial', The Lancet.
Walsh, T. S., Salisbury, L. G., Merriweather, J. L., Boyd, J. A., Griffith, D. M., Huby, G., Kean, S., Mackenzie, S. J., Krishan, A., Lewis, S. C., Murray, G. D., Forbes, J. F., Smith, J., Rattray, J. E., Hull, A. M. and Ramsay, P. (2015) 'Increased Hospital-Based Physical Rehabilitation and Information Provision After Intensive Care Unit Discharge: The RECOVER Randomized Clinical Trial', JAMA Intern Med.
2014
Bhopal, R. S., Douglas, A., Wallia, S., Forbes, J. F., Lean, M. E. J., Gill, J. M. R., McKnight, J. A., Sattar, N., Sheikh, A., Wild, S. H., Tuomilehto, J., Sharma, A., Bhopal, R., Smith, J. B. E., Butcher, I. and Murray, G. D. (2014) 'Effect of a lifestyle intervention on weight change in south Asian individuals in the UK at high risk of type 2 diabetes: A family-cluster randomised controlled trial', The Lancet Diabetes and Endocrinology, 2(3), 218-227.
Forbes, J. F. (2014) 'Effect of intermittent pneumatic compression on disability, living circumstances, quality of life, and hospital costs after stroke: secondary analyses from CLOTS 3, a randomised trial', The Lancet Neurology, 13(12), 1186-1192.
Morrison, Z., Douglas, A., Bhopal, R., Sheikh, A., Forbes, J. F. and investigators, o. b. o. t. t. (2014) 'Understanding experiences of participating in a weight loss lifestyle intervention trial: a qualitative evaluation of South Asians at high risk of diabetes', BMJ Open, 4(6).
Ramsay, P., Salisbury, L. G., Merriweather, J. L., Huby, G., Rattray, J. E., Hull, A. M., Brett, S. J., Mackenzie, S. J., Murray, G. D., Forbes, J. F. and Walsh, T. S. (2014) 'A rehabilitation intervention to promote physical recovery following intensive care: A detailed description of construct development, rationale and content together with proposed taxonomy to capture processes in a randomised controlled trial', Trials, 15(1), 38.
2013
Dennis, M., Sandercock, P., Murray, G. and Forbes, J. (2013) 'Does intermittent pneumatic compression reduce the risk of post stroke deep vein thrombosis? The CLOTS 3 trial: Statistical analysis plan', Trials, 14(66).
Dennis, M., Sandercock, P., Murray, G. and Forbes, J. (2013) 'Intermittent pneumatic compression in patients with stroke--authors' reply', Lancet, 382(9903), 1481-2.
Dennis, M., Sandercock, P., Reid, J., Graham, C., Forbes, J. and Murray, G., on behalf of The CLOTS Trials Collaboration. (2013) 'Effectiveness of intermittent pneumatic compression in reduction of risk of deep vein thrombosis in patients who have had a stroke (CLOTS 3): a multicentre randomised controlled trial', The Lancet, 382(9891), 516-524.
Douglas, A., Bhopal, R. S., Bhopal, R., Forbes, J. F., Gill, J. M. R., McKnight, J., Murray, G., Sattar, N., Sharma, A., Wallia, S., Wild, S. and Sheikh, A. (2013) 'Design and baseline characteristics of the PODOSA (Prevention of Diabetes & Obesity in South Asians) trial: A cluster, randomised lifestyle intervention in Indian and Pakistani adults with impaired glycaemia at high risk of developing type 2 diabetes', BMJ Open, 3(2).
Walsh, T. S., Boyd, J. A., Watson, D., Hope, D., Lewis, S., Krishan, A., Forbes, J. F., Ramsay, P., Pearse, R., Wallis, C., Cairns, C., Cole, S. and Wyncoll, D. (2013) 'Restrictive versus liberal transfusion strategies for older mechanically ventilated critically ill patients: A randomized pilot trial', Critical Care Medicine, 41(10), 2354-2363.
2012
Dennis, M., Sandercock, P., Reid, J., Graham, C., Forbes, J., Dennis, M., Sandercock, P., Reid, J., Forbes, J., Cranswick, G., Hunter, J., Williams, C., Soosay, V., Deary, A., Fraser, A., McGrath, A., Young, A., Dennis, M., Reid, J., Sandercock, P., Forbes, J., Bowler, G., Henderson, Y., Rudd, A., Lowe, G., Murray, G., Bucukoglu, M., McLelland, T., Bamford, J., Slattery, J. and Baigent, C. (2012) 'Does intermittent pneumatic compression reduce the risk of post stroke deep vein thrombosis? The CLOTS 3 trial: Study protocol for a randomized controlled trial', Trials, 13.
Forbes, J. F., Ridgway, N. and Smith, J. (2012) Better health, better lives for prisoners: a framework for improving the lives of Scotland’s prisoners. Volume 3: Health improvement outcomes for prisoners in Scotland: assessing cost-effectiveness and modelling indicative costs, ScotPHN Report.
Harris, B., Andrews, P. J., Murray, G. D., Forbes, J. and Moseley, O. (2012) 'Systematic review of head cooling in adults after traumatic brain injury and stroke', Health Technol Assess, 16(45), 1-175.
Newby, D. E., Williams, M. C., Flapan, A. D., Forbes, J. F., Hargreaves, A. D., Leslie, S. J., Lewis, S. C., McKillop, G., McLean, S., Reid, J. H., Sprat, J. C., Uren, N. G., van Beek, E. J., Boon, N. A., Clark, L., Craig, P., Flather, M. D., McCormack, C., Roditi, G., Timmis, A. D., Krishan, A., Donaldson, G., Fotheringham, M., Hall, F. J., Neary, P., Cram, L., Perkins, S., Taylor, F., Eteiba, H., Rae, A. P., Robb, K., Barrie, D., Bissett, K., Dawson, A., Dundas, S., Fogarty, Y., Ramkumar, P. G., Houston, G. J., Letham, D., O'Neill, L., Pringle, S. D., Ritchie, V., Sudarshan, T., Weir-McCall, J., Cormack, A., Findlay, I. N., Hood, S., Murphy, C., Peat, E., Allen, B., Baird, A., Bertram, D., Brian, D., Cowan, A., Cruden, N. L., Dweck, M. R., Flint, L., Fyfe, S., Keanie, C., MacGillivray, T. J., Maclachlan, D. S., MacLeod, M., Mirsadraee, S., Morrison, A., Mills, N. L., Minns, F. C., Phillips, A., Queripel, L. J., Weir, N. W., Bett, F., Divers, F., Fairley, K., Jacob, A. J., Keegan, E., White, T., Gemmill, J., Henry, M., McGowan, J., Dinnel, L., Francis, C. M., Sandeman, D., Yerramasu, A., Berry, C., Boylan, H., Brown, A., Duffy, K., Frood, A., Johnstone, J., Lanaghan, K., MacDuff, R., MacLeod, M., McGlynn, D., McMillan, N., Murdoch, L., Noble, C., Paterson, V., Steedman, T. and Tzemos, N. (2012) 'Role of multidetector computed tomography in the diagnosis and management of patients attending the rapid access chest pain clinic, The Scottish computed tomography of the heart (SCOT-HEART) trial: Study protocol for randomized controlled trial', Trials, 13(1), 184.
Walsh, T. S., Salisbury, L. G., Boyd, J., Ramsay, P., Merriweather, J., Huby, G., Forbes, J., Rattray, J. Z., Griffith, D. M., Mackenzie, S. J., Hull, A., Lewis, S. and Murray, G. D. (2012) 'A randomised controlled trial evaluating a rehabilitation complex intervention for patients following intensive care discharge: the RECOVER study', BMJ Open, 2(4).
2011
Douglas, A., Bhopal, R. S., Bhopal, R., Forbes, J. F., Gill, J. M. R., Lawton, J., McKnight, J., Murray, G., Sattar, N., Sharma, A., Tuomilehto, J., Wallia, S., Wild, S. and Sheikh, A. (2011) 'Recruiting South Asians to a lifestyle intervention trial: Experiences and lessons from PODOSA (Prevention of Diabetes & Obesity in South Asians)', Trials, 220.
Forbes, J. F. (2011) Updating the Scottish Needs Assessment Programme Report on Type 2 Diabetes: Screening and Prevention – Part D: Cost-effectiveness and budget impact analysis of screening for Type 2 Diabetes, ScotPHN Report.
Gill, J. M. R., Bhopal, R., Douglas, A., Wallia, S., Bhopal, R., Sheikh, A., Forbes, J. F., McKnight, J., Sattar, N., Murray, G., Lean, M. E. J. and Wild, S. H. (2011) 'Sitting time and waist circumference are associated with glycemia in U.K. South Asians: Data from 1,228 adults screened for the PODOSA trial', Diabetes Care, 34(5), 1214-1218.
Handel, I. G., de Bronsvoort, B. M. C., Forbes, J. F. and Woolhouse, M. E. J. (2011) 'Risk-targeted selection of agricultural holdings for post-epidemic surveillance: Estimation of efficiency gains', PLoS One, 6(5).
2010
Bradbury, A. W., Adam, D. J., Bell, J., Forbes, J. F., Fowkes, F. G., Gillespie, I., Ruckley, C. V. and Raab, G. M. (2010) 'Bypass versus Angioplasty in Severe Ischaemia of the Leg (BASIL) trial: A description of the severity and extent of disease using the Bollinger angiogram scoring method and the TransAtlantic Inter-Society Consensus II classification', J Vasc Surg, 51(5 Suppl), 32S-42S.
Bradbury, A. W., Adam, D. J., Bell, J., Forbes, J. F., Fowkes, F. G., Gillespie, I., Ruckley, C. V. and Raab, G. M. (2010) 'Bypass versus Angioplasty in Severe Ischaemia of the Leg (BASIL) trial: An intention-to-treat analysis of amputation-free and overall survival in patients randomized to a bypass surgery-first or a balloon angioplasty-first revascularization strategy', J Vasc Surg, 51(5 Suppl), 5S-17S.
Bradbury, A. W., Adam, D. J., Bell, J., Forbes, J. F., Fowkes, F. G., Gillespie, I., Ruckley, C. V. and Raab, G. M. (2010) 'Bypass versus Angioplasty in Severe Ischaemia of the Leg (BASIL) trial: Analysis of amputation free and overall survival by treatment received', J Vasc Surg, 51(5 Suppl), 18S-31S.
Bradbury, A. W., Adam, D. J., Bell, J., Forbes, J. F., Fowkes, F. G. R. and Gillespie, I. (2010) 'Erratum: Bypass versus Angioplasty in Severe Ischaemia of the Leg (BASIL) trial: A description of the severity and extent of disease using the Bollinger angiogram scoring method and the TransAtlantic Inter-Society Consensus II classification (Journal of Vascular Surgery (2010) 51:5 SUPPL. (32S-42S))', J Vasc Surg, 52(6), 1751.
Bradbury, A. W., Adam, D. J., Bell, J., Forbes, J. F., Fowkes, F. G. R., Gillespie, I., Raab, G. and Ruckley, C. V. (2010) 'Multicentre randomised controlled trial of the clinical and cost-effectiveness of a bypass-surgery-first versus a balloon-angioplasty-first revascularisation strategy for severe limb ischaemia due to infrainguinal disease. The Bypass versus Angioplasty in Severe Ischaemia of the Leg (BASIL) trial', Health Technology Assessment, 14(14), 1-236.
Bradbury, A. W., Adam, D. J., Bell, J., Forbes, J. F., Fowkes, F. G. R., Gillespie, I., Ruckley, C. V. and Raab, G. M. (2010) 'Bypass versus Angioplasty in Severe Ischaemia of the Leg (BASIL) trial: A survival prediction model to facilitate clinical decision making', J Vasc Surg, 51(5 SUPPL.), 52S-68S.
Forbes, J. F., Adam, D. J., Bell, J., Fowkes, F. G., Gillespie, I., Raab, G. M., Ruckley, C. V. and Bradbury, A. W. (2010) 'Bypass versus Angioplasty in Severe Ischaemia of the Leg (BASIL) trial: Health-related quality of life outcomes, resource utilization, and cost-effectiveness analysis', J Vasc Surg, 51(5 Suppl), 43S-51S.
2009
Boyle, J. M., McCartney, E., O'Hare, A. and Forbes, J. (2009) 'Direct versus indirect and individual versus group modes of language therapy for children with primary language impairment: principal outcomes from a randomized controlled trial and economic evaluation', Int J Lang Commun Disord, 44(6), 826-46.
Dickson, K., Marshall, M., Boyle, J., McCartney, E., O'Hare, A. and Forbes, J. (2009) 'Cost analysis of direct versus indirect and individual versus group modes of manual-based speech-and-language therapy for primary school-age children with primary language impairment', Int J Lang Commun Disord, 44(3), 369-81.
2008
Krajewski-Siuda, K., Romaniuk, P., Madaj, B., Forbes, J. and Hubicki, L. (2008) 'Brain drain threat–Polish students are not satisfied with labor market options for health professionals in Poland', Journal of Public Health, 16(5), 347-351.
2007
Boyle, J., McCartney, E., Forbes, J. and O'Hare, A. (2007) 'A randomised controlled trial and economic evaluation of direct versus indirect and individual versus group modes of speech and language therapy for children with primary language impairment', Health Technol Assess, 11(25), iii-iv, xi-xii, 1-139.
Powell, J. T., Brown, L. C., Forbes, J. F., Fowkes, F. G., Greenhalgh, R. M., Ruckley, C. V. and Thompson, S. G. (2007) 'Final 12-year follow-up of surgery versus surveillance in the UK Small Aneurysm Trial', Br J Surg, 94(6), 702-8.
2006
Dennis, M., Lewis, S., Cranswick, G. and Forbes, J. (2006) 'FOOD: a multicentre randomised trial evaluating feeding policies in patients admitted to hospital with a recent stroke', Health Technol Assess, 10(2), iii-iv, ix-x, 1-120.
Keating, J. F., Grant, A., Masson, M., Scott, N. W. and Forbes, J. F. (2006) 'Randomized comparison of reduction and fixation, bipolar hemiarthroplasty, and total hip arthroplasty: Treatment of displaced intracapsular hip fractures in healthy older patients', Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery - Series A, 88(2), 249-260.
Mackenzie, D. G., Forbes, J., Wild, S. and Rutledge, P. (2006) 'Preventing coronary heart disease: High baseline risk strategy and cost effectiveness of guidelines', BMJ : British Medical Journal, 332(7544), 793.
Mackenzie, D. G., Forbes, J. F. and Rutledge, P. (2006) 'New guidelines on hypertension', Lancet, 368(9536), 641.
2005
Adam, D. J., Beard, J. D., Cleveland, T., Bell, J., Bradbury, A. W., Forbes, J. F., Fowkes, F. G., Gillepsie, I., Ruckley, C. V., Raab, G. and Storkey, H. (2005) 'Bypass versus angioplasty in severe ischaemia of the leg (BASIL): multicentre, randomised controlled trial', Lancet, 366(9501), 1925-34.
Craig, P. and Forbes, J. (2005) 'Social position and health: are old and new occupational classifications interchangeable?', J Biosoc Sci, 37(1), 89-106.
Forbes, J. F. (2005) 'The FOOD Trial Collaboration. Effect of timing and method of enteral tube feeding for dysphagic stroke patients (FOOD): a multicentre randomised controlled trial', Lancet, 365, 764-72.
Forbes, J. F. (2005) 'The FOOD Trial Collaboration. Routine oral nutritional supplementation for stroke patients in hospital (FOOD): a multicentre randomised controlled trial', Lancet, 365, 755-63.
Keating, J., Masson, M., Scott, N., Forbes, J. F. and Grant, A. (2005) 'Scottish trial of arthroplasty or reduction for subcapital fractures (STARS)', NCCHTA Monograph.
Syme, P. D., Byrne, A. W., Chen, R., Devenny, R. and Forbes, J. F. (2005) 'Community-based stroke incidence in a Scottish population: The Scottish borders stroke study', Stroke, 36(9), 1837-1843.
2004
Forbes, J. F. (2004) 'Independent Consensus Panel. Consensus statement: hepatitis C', Journal of the Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh, 34, 196-7.
Sandercock, P., Berge, E., Dennis, M., Forbes, J., Hand, P., Kwan, J., Lewis, S., Lindley, R., Neilson, A. and Wardlaw, J. (2004) 'Cost-Effectiveness of Thrombolysis With Recombinant Tissue Plasminogen Activator for Acute Ischemic Stroke Assessed by a Model Based on UK NHS Costs', Stroke, 35(6), 1490-1497.
2003
Alexander, F., Weller, D., Forbes, J. F., Neilson, A. and Walker, A. (2003) Evaluation of the UK Colorectal Cancer Screening Pilot, London: Department of Health.
Forbes, J. F. (2003) 'The FOOD Trial Collaboration', Performance of a statistical model to predict stroke outcome in the context of a large, simple, randomised, controlled trial of feeding. Stroke, 34, 127-33.
Forbes, J. F. (2003) 'The FOOD Trial Collaboration. Poor nutritional status on admission predicts poor outcomes after stroke. Observational data from the FOOD trial', Stroke, 34, 1450–6.
2002
Forbes, J. F. (2002) 'Coherent publication of economic analyses', BMJ, 325, 1124.
Forbes, J. F. (2002) Guidance for industry on submission of evidence to the Health Technology Board for Scotland.
Forbes, J. F. (2002) 'The United Kingdom Small Aneurysm Trial Participants. Long-term outcomes of immediate repair compared with surveillance of small abdominal aortic aneurysms.', New England Journal of Medicine, 346, 1445-52.
Sandercock, P., Berge, E., Dennis, M., Forbes, J., Hand, P., Kwan, J., Lewis, S., Lindley, R., Neilson, A., Thomas, B. and Wardlaw, J. (2002) 'A systematic review of the effectiveness, cost-effectiveness and barriers to implementation of thrombolytic and neuroprotective therapy for acute ischaemic stroke in the NHS', Health Technol Assess, 6(26), 1-112.
2001
Guay, M., Kansal, S. and Forbes, J. F. (2001) 'Trajectory optimization for flat dynamic systems', Industrial and Engineering Chemistry Research, 40(9), 2089-2102.
Zhang, Y., Nadler, D. and Forbes, J. F. (2001) 'Results analysis for trust constrained real-time optimization', Journal of Process Control, 11(3), 329-341.
2000
Forbes, J. F. (2000) 'The UK Small Aneurysm Trial Participants. Risk factors for postoperative death following elective surgical repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm: results from the UK Small Aneurysm Trial', British Journal of Surgery, 87, 742-9.
Forbes, J. F. (2000) 'The UK Small Aneurysm Trial Participants. Smoking, lung function and the prognosis of abdominal aortic aneurysm', European Journal of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, 19, 636-42.
Hurst, N., Lambert, C., Forbes, J. F., Lochhead, A., Major, K. and Lock, P. (2000) 'Does waiting matter? A randomised controlled trial of new non-urgent rheumatology outpatient referrals', Rheumatology (Oxford), 39, 369–76.